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TriSync
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Back to Players
Is Andrew Alvarez projected to do well today?
#54 Andrew Alvarez
Team: Washington Nationals
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...
📢 TriSync Expert Analysis
ROTO
Start
Possible
Andrew Alvarez projects into a Fair performance window, and his past performance here isn’t encouraging. The typical propensity is toward ineffective production. With a Variable profile, the metrics can swing due to added instability. Safer to avoid him unless something strongly tips the scales.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.42 vs TOR
ROTO
Start
Possible
If Andrew Alvarez takes the mound in a Fair window, expectations should be tempered. His propensity suggests a probable tepid showing more often than not. The Variable profile keeps instability high around the final metrics. This lines up as a cautious avoid call.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.47 vs TOR
ROTO
Start
Possible
Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)
Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.1 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6.1 | 2.61 | 1.26 | 0.225 | -1.28% |
| Good | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25.1 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 11.0 | 2.13 | 1.42 | 0.268 | +28.02% |
| Fair | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 42.1 | 35 | 22 | 20 | 3 | 22 | 39 | 8.3 | 4.25 | 1.35 | 0.223 | -8.41% |
| Suboptimal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3.0 | 9.00 | 2.33 | 0.385 | -73.02% |
Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 57.2 | 59 | 26 | 26 | 2 | 28 | 58 | 9.1 | 4.06 | 1.51 | 0.268 | 3.29 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23.1 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 7.7 | 2.31 | 1.11 | 0.184 | 4.02 |
Individual Game Stats
Click column titles for more information & detailed explanations
|
Date
|
Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K |
Composite Score
|
Output Level
|
Game Rating
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | TOR | 4.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | Fair | 3.28 | ||
| Jul 20, 2026 | @COL | 4.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | Excellent | 1.05 | ||
| Jul 12, 2026 | NYY | L | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 1.44 | |
| Jul 7, 2026 | HOU | L | 5.2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | Fair | -0.32 | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | @BOS | W | 4.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Good | 6.61 | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | @BAL | L | 4.1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | Good | 2.71 | |
| Jun 21, 2026 | @TB | 4.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Good | 4.96 | ||
| Jun 15, 2026 | KC | 4.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Good | 4.22 | ||
| Jun 9, 2026 | @SF | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | Good | 1.94 | ||
| Jun 3, 2026 | MIA | 4.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 4.50 | ||
| May 29, 2026 | SD | 3.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Suboptimal | 0.94 | ||
| May 24, 2026 | @ATL | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 4.00 | ||
| May 20, 2026 | NYM | SV | 4.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 4.37 | |
| May 15, 2026 | BAL | 3.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 3.45 | ||
| Apr 19, 2026 | SF | W | 4.1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Good | 6.24 | |
| Sep 24, 2025 | @ATL | 4.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | Fair | 5.03 | ||
| Sep 19, 2025 | @NYM | L | 3.1 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 1.00 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | PIT | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Excellent | 5.81 | ||
| Sep 7, 2025 | @CHC | 4.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | Fair | 2.34 | ||
| Sep 1, 2025 | MIA | W | 5.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 5.91 |
Andrew entering a Fair window is usually not a great sign. His past propensity in this range points to lackluster production. With a Variable profile, the inconsistency surrounding his statistical returns only increases the downside. Safer to bench him here.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 2.01 vs TOR