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The Good window suggests potential, but Caleb hasn’t shown it in the past. Instead, these situations have often ended in flat efforts. Combine that with the unpredictability tied to a Variable profile, and it’s a risky play. Safer call is to exclude.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.72 vs MIL
Kilian may sit in a Good performance window, but his historical output here is underwhelming. More often than not, it turns into a disappointing outing. With a Variable profile, the instability in his results remains high. That points towards the bench.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.79 vs MIL
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9.0 | 6.75 | 1.50 | 0.250 | -4.49% |
| Good | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 25.2 | 26 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 9.5 | 5.61 | 1.48 | 0.260 | -7.00% |
| Fair | 22 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 28.1 | 29 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 9.5 | 5.72 | 1.48 | 0.259 | -5.82% |
| Suboptimal | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10.2 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 7.6 | 10.13 | 2.25 | 0.325 | -54.18% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 41.1 | 37 | 23 | 21 | 5 | 18 | 49 | 10.7 | 4.57 | 1.33 | 0.234 | 3.89 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10.2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5.9 | 4.22 | 1.59 | 0.268 | 2.21 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.1 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8.4 | 16.88 | 2.81 | 0.481 | 1.16 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11.1 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 7.1 | 10.32 | 2.03 | 0.262 | 0.24 |
|
Date
|
Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K |
Composite Score
|
Output Level
|
Game Rating
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | LAA | W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.81 | |
| Jul 21, 2026 | @KC | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 4.08 | ||
| Jul 20, 2026 | @KC | L | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Fair | 2.94 | |
| Jul 17, 2026 | @SEA | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.37 | ||
| Jul 10, 2026 | COL | L | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 0.67 | |
| Jul 9, 2026 | COL | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.37 | ||
| Jul 4, 2026 | @COL | SV | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.08 | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | @AZ | SV | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 5.26 | |
| Jun 28, 2026 | ATL | SV | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Excellent | 3.79 | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | ATH | L | 0.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 0.12 | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | ATH | SV | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 4.52 | |
| Jun 17, 2026 | @ATL | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.59 | ||
| Jun 14, 2026 | CHC | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.66 | ||
| Jun 13, 2026 | CHC | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Good | 4.52 | ||
| Jun 7, 2026 | @CHC | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.37 | ||
| Jun 6, 2026 | @CHC | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 3.93 | ||
| Jun 4, 2026 | @MIL | SV | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.81 | |
| Jun 2, 2026 | @MIL | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Fair | 3.57 | ||
| May 31, 2026 | @COL | W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 4.96 | |
| May 29, 2026 | @COL | L | 0.2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Good | -0.54 | |
| May 27, 2026 | AZ | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 4.57 | ||
| May 24, 2026 | CWS | SV | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Fair | 5.56 | |
| May 19, 2026 | @AZ | L | 1.1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Suboptimal | 2.43 | |
| May 16, 2026 | @ATH | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 3.57 | ||
| May 12, 2026 | @LAD | SV | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 5.03 | |
| May 10, 2026 | PIT | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Good | 3.50 | ||
| May 8, 2026 | PIT | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Excellent | 2.50 | ||
| May 4, 2026 | SD | SV | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Excellent | 4.22 | |
| May 3, 2026 | @TB | L | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 3.50 | |
| Apr 30, 2026 | @PHI | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.71 | ||
| Apr 24, 2026 | MIA | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 3.64 | ||
| Apr 22, 2026 | LAD | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 3.93 | ||
| Apr 18, 2026 | @WSH | W | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 5.16 | |
| Apr 17, 2026 | @WSH | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Good | 4.37 | ||
| Apr 14, 2026 | @CIN | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Good | 3.93 | ||
| Apr 11, 2026 | @BAL | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Good | 3.29 | ||
| Apr 8, 2026 | PHI | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Suboptimal | 4.01 | ||
| Apr 6, 2026 | PHI | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Suboptimal | 4.01 | ||
| Apr 4, 2026 | NYM | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Excellent | 4.37 | ||
| Apr 3, 2026 | NYM | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 4.24 | ||
| Apr 1, 2026 | @SD | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 4.79 | ||
| Mar 25, 2026 | NYY | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.37 | ||
| Sep 29, 2024 | CIN | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 5.01 | ||
| Sep 23, 2024 | @PHI | L | 5.2 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | Suboptimal | -0.58 | |
| Aug 13, 2023 | @TOR | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 1.39 | ||
| Aug 7, 2023 | @NYM | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 4.08 | ||
| Apr 29, 2023 | @MIA | L | 3.1 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | -1.99 | |
| Jun 20, 2022 | @PIT | L | 2.1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | Suboptimal | -0.76 | |
| Jun 15, 2022 | SD | L | 4.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | Fair | -1.50 | |
| Jun 4, 2022 | STL | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Good | 2.97 |
Caleb Kilian enters a Good window, but his history here doesn’t inspire confidence. These conditions have often produced ordinary results. With the added doubt from a Variable profile, the risk outweighs the reward. Best to exclude.
Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 2.79 vs MIL