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Back to Players
Should I start or sit Connelly Early today?
#19 Connelly Early
Team: Washington Nationals
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...
📢 TriSync Expert Analysis
LEAGUE
Sit
Bench
If Early is called on today, he lands in a Fair window that hasn’t been kind to him. His usual inclination in this range leans toward a probable flat outing. The Variable profile adds another layer of unpredictability to the metrics. Best move is to rest unless you see a clear edge elsewhere.
Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Sit
Bench
A Fair window isn’t a great spot for Early, based on his history. His track record in these situations has often led to tepid outcomes. With the Variable profile introducing ambiguity, the end results carry risk. It’s probably best to bench unless you have a strong case to play him.
Opposing Pitcher: N/A
LEAGUE
Sit
Bench
Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)
- Capacity - Tracks strength, stamina, coordination and overall physical capacity
- Competitiveness - Tracks awareness, state of mind and emotional temperament
- Cognitive - Tracks mental alertness, critical thinking and decision-making ability
- Composite - Reflects overall alignment & coordination of the individual cycles
Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11.3 | 0.00 | 1.25 | 0.231 | +26.55% |
| Good | 16 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 87.0 | 74 | 29 | 28 | 11 | 27 | 96 | 9.9 | 2.90 | 1.16 | 0.228 | +6.66% |
| Fair | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18.0 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 7.5 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 0.254 | -34.71% |
| Suboptimal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12.6 | 3.60 | 1.00 | 0.211 | +5.79% |
Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 94.2 | 82 | 35 | 35 | 15 | 34 | 94 | 8.9 | 3.33 | 1.23 | 0.232 | 3.80 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19.1 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 13.5 | 2.33 | 1.09 | 0.230 | 5.12 |
Individual Game Stats
Click column titles for more information & detailed explanations
|
Date
|
Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K |
Composite
Score |
Output
Level |
TriSync
Projection |
Game
Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | NYM | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Fair | 4.61 | |||
| Jun 25, 2026 | NYY | W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Good | 5.51 | ||
| Jun 20, 2026 | @SEA | W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | Good | 5.96 | ||
| Jun 14, 2026 | TEX | L | 4.2 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | Good | -1.39 | ||
| Jun 8, 2026 | @TB | L | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | Fair | 2.91 | ||
| Jun 2, 2026 | BAL | L | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | Good | 2.05 | ||
| May 27, 2026 | ATL | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | Good | 6.47 | ||
| May 20, 2026 | @KC | W | 6.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 3.37 | ||
| May 15, 2026 | @ATL | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Good | 4.12 | |||
| May 8, 2026 | TB | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | Good | 7.40 | ||
| Apr 26, 2026 | @BAL | W | 6.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Good | 4.30 | ||
| Apr 21, 2026 | NYY | L | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | Good | 1.91 | ||
| Apr 15, 2026 | @MIN | W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Good | 5.36 | ||
| Apr 10, 2026 | @STL | 4.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 4.00 | |||
| Apr 4, 2026 | SD | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Good | 2.50 | |||
| Mar 29, 2026 | @CIN | 5.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Good | 4.49 | |||
| Sep 21, 2025 | @TB | L | 4.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 3.07 | ||
| Sep 16, 2025 | ATH | 5.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Good | 5.38 |
The Fair window sets a lower expectation for Connelly if he pitches today. Historically, his inclination has been toward disappointing outings in these scenarios. The Variable profile adds another layer of inconsistency to the end results. Unless you have a compelling reason, best to avoid him.