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Is Jacob deGrom projected to do well today?

Jacob deGrom
#48 Jacob deGrom
Team: Texas Rangers
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Level:
TriSync Rating:

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

The Good window suggests potential, but Jacob deGrom hasn’t shown it in the past. Instead, these situations have often ended in ordinary efforts. Combine that with the fluctuation tied to a Variable profile, and it’s a risky play. Safer call is to rest.

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Top Tier

You can’t fully trust the consistency due to the Variable nature, so ambiguity is baked in for this guy on the mound. That said, Jacob checks in with a top tier Overall Rating, so the Subptimal window can be overcome.

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With a Fair rating, Jacob projects for slightly below-average on-field output relative to his norm. Variability is part of the package, but the general expectation holds.

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Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/- 
Excellent 3 2 1 0 20.1 10 4 4 3 3 32 14.2 1.77 0.64 0.139 +25.73%
Good 30 9 8 0 163.2 107 54 50 26 28 214 11.8 2.75 0.82 0.181 -3.45%
Fair 41 18 8 0 232.1 155 68 67 25 41 300 11.6 2.60 0.84 0.186 -0.36%
Suboptimal 3 1 1 0 18.1 12 5 5 3 2 24 11.8 2.45 0.76 0.182 +13.69%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 12 4 4 0 64.2 52 25 25 13 13 78 10.9 3.48 1.01 0.212 4.33
2025 30 12 8 0 172.2 122 57 57 26 37 185 9.6 2.97 0.92 0.196 4.46
2024 3 0 0 0 10.2 11 2 2 1 1 14 11.8 1.69 1.12 0.262 4.72
2023 6 2 0 0 30.1 19 11 9 2 4 45 13.4 2.67 0.76 0.171 5.34
2022 11 5 4 0 64.1 40 22 22 9 8 102 14.3 3.08 0.75 0.175 5.57
2021 15 7 2 0 92.0 40 14 11 6 11 146 14.3 1.08 0.55 0.129 7.06

Individual Game Stats

Date Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K TriSync Rating TriSync Level Game Rating
Jun 1, 2026 @STL W 5.0 4 0 0 0 1 8 3.18 Fair 6.99
May 27, 2026 HOU 6.0 4 2 2 1 1 6 3.63 Fair 4.17
May 22, 2026 @LAA L 3.0 6 6 6 2 3 3 2.80 Fair -1.29
May 16, 2026 @HOU L 6.0 5 4 4 4 0 4 5.49 Good 2.03
May 10, 2026 CHC W 7.0 3 0 0 0 0 10 4.93 Good 8.51
May 5, 2026 @NYY L 6.1 7 6 6 2 1 7 2.28 Fair 0.73
Apr 28, 2026 NYY L 6.0 3 1 1 0 0 5 3.94 Good 5.21
Apr 23, 2026 PIT W 5.2 5 1 1 1 1 10 3.68 Fair 6.66
Apr 17, 2026 @SEA 4.0 4 0 0 0 2 3 4.90 Good 4.37
Apr 12, 2026 @LAD W 6.0 4 1 1 1 3 9 3.89 Good 5.96
Apr 6, 2026 SEA 5.0 1 1 1 1 1 6 2.82 Fair 5.31
Mar 31, 2026 @BAL 4.2 6 3 3 1 0 7 4.91 Good 3.33
Sep 24, 2025 MIN 5.0 2 1 1 1 1 8 4.12 Good 5.76
Sep 17, 2025 @HOU L 5.0 6 5 5 2 1 6 2.39 Fair 1.16
Sep 12, 2025 @NYM W 7.0 4 3 3 1 0 2 2.12 Fair 3.21
Sep 6, 2025 HOU L 5.1 5 3 3 2 2 8 6.44 Excellent 3.32
Aug 31, 2025 @ATH W 5.0 2 0 0 0 1 6 4.97 Good 6.68
Aug 25, 2025 LAA L 5.0 3 2 2 1 2 7 5.51 Good 4.12
Aug 15, 2025 @TOR 5.0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2.63 Fair 6.06
Aug 9, 2025 PHI L 6.2 6 3 3 0 1 8 3.65 Fair 3.72
Aug 3, 2025 @SEA L 5.0 4 5 5 3 3 5 4.84 Good 0.62
Jul 28, 2025 @LAA L 5.1 7 5 5 2 1 8 2.34 Fair 1.64
Jul 22, 2025 ATH W 6.0 3 1 1 1 1 9 6.26 Excellent 6.73
Jul 12, 2025 @HOU 6.0 4 2 2 2 1 8 2.07 Fair 4.76
Jul 7, 2025 @LAA 5.0 5 3 3 1 2 5 2.26 Fair 2.41
Jul 1, 2025 BAL W 6.0 5 2 2 1 1 6 3.78 Good 4.61
Jun 25, 2025 @BAL W 7.0 1 0 0 0 2 7 1.47 Suboptimal 7.25
Jun 20, 2025 @PIT W 6.0 5 2 2 0 1 7 3.21 Fair 4.91
Jun 14, 2025 CWS 6.0 5 2 2 0 0 6 2.03 Fair 4.32
Jun 7, 2025 @WSH W 7.0 2 0 0 0 0 8 2.77 Fair 8.03
Jun 1, 2025 STL W 6.0 4 1 1 0 3 4 3.17 Fair 4.47
May 26, 2025 TOR L 5.1 5 2 2 1 2 0 4.67 Good 1.91
May 21, 2025 @NYY 7.0 3 2 2 1 1 9 4.93 Good 5.41
May 15, 2025 HOU W 8.0 5 0 0 0 1 7 3.41 Fair 7.14
May 10, 2025 @DET W 5.0 5 2 2 2 1 10 5.09 Good 5.61
May 4, 2025 SEA W 5.0 3 1 1 0 2 3 3.66 Fair 4.42
Apr 29, 2025 ATH W 6.0 4 0 0 0 0 7 3.73 Fair 7.19
Apr 24, 2025 @ATH 5.1 6 2 2 0 0 6 1.58 Suboptimal 4.05
Apr 18, 2025 LAD L 7.0 3 1 1 1 1 7 3.98 Good 5.71
Apr 11, 2025 @SEA 4.0 3 3 3 2 4 4 4.46 Good 1.67
Apr 5, 2025 TB 5.2 8 4 4 2 0 3 4.93 Good 1.28
Mar 30, 2025 BOS 5.0 2 0 0 0 2 6 3.54 Fair 5.76
Sep 27, 2024 @LAA 4.0 4 1 1 0 0 5 3.74 Fair 4.66
Sep 20, 2024 SEA 3.0 3 1 1 1 1 5 2.81 Fair 4.32
Sep 13, 2024 @SEA 3.2 4 0 0 0 0 4 3.52 Fair 5.19
Apr 28, 2023 NYY 3.2 1 0 0 0 1 2 4.52 Good 4.74
Apr 23, 2023 OAK W 6.0 3 2 1 1 0 11 4.66 Good 7.66
Apr 17, 2023 @KC 4.0 0 0 0 0 1 5 4.35 Good 5.86
Apr 11, 2023 KC 7.0 7 2 2 0 0 9 3.08 Fair 5.11
Apr 5, 2023 BAL W 6.0 2 2 1 0 2 11 3.49 Fair 7.19
Mar 30, 2023 PHI 3.2 6 5 5 1 0 7 4.68 Good 1.46
Sep 30, 2022 @ATL L 6.0 5 3 3 3 0 11 1.78 Suboptimal 4.91
Sep 24, 2022 @OAK L 4.0 6 5 5 1 4 5 2.74 Fair -0.09
Sep 18, 2022 PIT 5.0 4 3 3 1 0 13 3.76 Good 5.46
Sep 13, 2022 CHC L 6.0 5 3 3 1 0 10 3.32 Fair 4.61
Sep 7, 2022 @PIT W 7.0 3 0 0 0 1 8 2.56 Fair 7.56
Aug 31, 2022 LAD W 7.0 3 1 1 1 1 9 3.41 Fair 6.94
Aug 25, 2022 COL W 6.0 3 1 1 1 1 9 2.21 Fair 6.73
Aug 18, 2022 @ATL L 6.2 5 3 3 0 0 9 3.98 Good 4.45
Aug 13, 2022 PHI W 6.0 2 0 0 0 0 10 3.66 Fair 8.46
Aug 7, 2022 ATL W 5.2 1 2 2 1 1 12 2.60 Fair 6.97
Aug 2, 2022 @WSH 5.0 3 1 1 0 0 6 4.32 Good 5.31
Jul 7, 2021 MIL 7.0 4 2 2 2 0 10 2.23 Fair 5.86
Jul 1, 2021 @ATL 7.0 5 3 3 1 0 14 3.18 Fair 6.01
Jun 26, 2021 PHI 6.0 4 2 2 0 1 5 4.27 Good 3.88
Jun 21, 2021 ATL W 5.0 1 0 0 0 2 6 2.48 Fair 6.52
Jun 16, 2021 CHC 3.0 0 0 0 0 0 8 2.32 Fair 6.88
Jun 11, 2021 SD W 6.0 1 0 0 0 0 10 4.51 Good 8.62
Jun 5, 2021 @SD W 7.0 3 0 0 0 1 11 3.88 Good 8.51
May 31, 2021 @AZ W 6.0 2 0 0 0 0 8 2.51 Fair 7.82
May 25, 2021 COL 5.0 3 1 1 1 0 9 5.45 Good 6.22
May 9, 2021 AZ W 5.0 1 1 1 0 3 6 3.66 Fair 5.31
Apr 28, 2021 BOS L 6.0 3 1 1 0 1 9 4.74 Good 6.12
Apr 23, 2021 WSH W 9.0 2 0 0 0 0 15 5.99 Excellent 10.74
Apr 17, 2021 @COL W 6.0 3 3 0 1 1 14 5.16 Good 9.26
Apr 10, 2021 MIA L 8.0 5 1 1 1 0 14 3.58 Fair 8.08
Apr 5, 2021 @PHI 6.0 3 0 0 0 2 7 3.69 Fair 6.12