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Back to Players

Is Lucas Erceg projected to do well today?

Lucas Erceg
#60 Lucas Erceg
Team: Kansas City Royals
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

Lucas falls into a Fair window, which tends to bring slightly reduced execution. With a Variable profile, there’s a bit more unpredictability baked in. Still, his historical range here sits just under baseline.

Opposing Pitcher: N/A

ROTO
Start
Possible

In this Fair spot, Lucas tends to come in slightly below his established level. His Variable profile allows for some fluctuation at times.

Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.58 @ MIN

ROTO
Start
Possible

In the event Erceg pitches, he lands in a Good window that supports a reliable showing. History backs up a steady level of output in these spots. The Variable profile adds some ambiguity, so manage expectations. He’s still a viable fantasy option.

Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.85 @ MIN

ROTO
Start
Possible

Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/-
Excellent 18 0 1 6 18.0 23 12 11 2 3 19 9.5 5.50 1.44 0.311 -1.04%
Good 90 6 7 14 92.2 83 42 37 6 37 100 9.7 3.59 1.29 0.238 +2.23%
Fair 86 9 8 8 87.0 68 42 37 4 48 77 8.0 3.83 1.33 0.215 -1.83%
Suboptimal 19 3 1 0 19.2 23 9 8 1 5 19 8.7 3.66 1.42 0.299 -1.31%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 41 4 3 12 39.1 43 27 23 5 23 27 6.2 5.26 1.68 0.287 3.70
2025 61 8 4 2 61.1 54 19 18 4 18 48 7.0 2.64 1.17 0.238 3.94
2024 61 2 6 14 61.2 49 26 23 3 16 72 10.5 3.36 1.05 0.212 4.07
2023 50 4 4 0 55.0 51 33 29 1 36 68 11.1 4.75 1.58 0.245 3.69

Individual Game Stats

Click column titles for more information & detailed explanations
Date
Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K
Composite Score
Output Level
Game Rating
Jul 26, 2026 @DET 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3.15 Fair 3.93
Jul 19, 2026 SD 0.1 1 1 1 1 2 0 3.68 Fair 2.38
Jul 17, 2026 SD W 1.0 2 3 1 0 0 0 3.05 Fair 3.50
Jul 12, 2026 @BAL 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 2 4.01 Good 3.64
Jul 9, 2026 @NYM 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1.09 Suboptimal 4.00
Jul 7, 2026 @NYM 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.26 Good 4.08
Jul 4, 2026 PHI 1.0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2.53 Fair 2.78
Jun 30, 2026 TB 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.54 Good 4.08
Jun 28, 2026 @CWS 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2.67 Fair 3.79
Jun 26, 2026 @CWS 1.0 2 2 2 1 0 0 4.27 Good 2.08
Jun 24, 2026 @TB 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.94 Good 4.22
Jun 21, 2026 STL 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.08 Good 4.29
Jun 17, 2026 @WSH 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.54 Fair 4.37
Jun 12, 2026 HOU 2.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 3.36 Fair 3.83
Jun 10, 2026 TEX 0.1 0 1 1 0 2 1 4.06 Good 2.80
Jun 7, 2026 @MIN SV 0.2 2 0 0 0 0 0 4.89 Good 4.30
Jun 6, 2026 @MIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4.89 Good 4.08
Jun 2, 2026 @CIN 1.0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2.75 Fair 3.07
May 30, 2026 @TEX L 0.0 5 3 3 1 0 0 6.06 Excellent 0.67
May 25, 2026 NYY L 1.0 4 2 2 0 0 0 5.07 Good 1.80
May 24, 2026 SEA 1.0 4 3 3 0 0 1 1.07 Suboptimal 1.25
May 17, 2026 @STL SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6.42 Excellent 4.37
May 15, 2026 @STL 1.0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5.95 Excellent 4.37
May 14, 2026 @CWS 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 1 7.34 Excellent 3.21
May 8, 2026 DET W 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4.04 Good 4.22
May 5, 2026 CLE SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4.05 Good 4.66
May 2, 2026 @SEA SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4.57 Good 5.26
May 1, 2026 @SEA SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.70 Good 4.96
Apr 28, 2026 @ATH SV 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 4.17 Good 4.52
Apr 26, 2026 LAA W 1.0 0 1 0 0 1 2 3.20 Fair 4.96
Apr 24, 2026 LAA SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2.55 Fair 4.96
Apr 21, 2026 BAL W 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3.13 Fair 4.37
Apr 20, 2026 BAL 1.0 1 1 1 0 3 0 3.52 Fair 2.22
Apr 16, 2026 @DET L 0.2 3 3 3 0 1 1 3.39 Fair 1.05
Apr 11, 2026 CWS SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7.44 Excellent 4.96
Apr 10, 2026 CWS SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.08 Fair 4.66
Apr 6, 2026 @CLE SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.32 Good 4.96
Apr 5, 2026 MIL 1.0 3 2 2 0 1 1 4.72 Good 1.94
Apr 1, 2026 MIN SV 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.30 Good 4.59
Mar 29, 2026 @ATL SV 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.67 Good 4.81
Mar 28, 2026 @ATL 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4.19 Good 3.64
Sep 17, 2025 SEA W 1.0 3 1 1 1 0 1 1.00 Suboptimal 3.64
Sep 13, 2025 @PHI 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1.20 Suboptimal 4.37
Sep 10, 2025 @CLE 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 3.20 Fair 4.42
Sep 4, 2025 LAA W 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.36 Fair 5.26
Sep 3, 2025 LAA L 1.0 2 1 1 0 1 1 3.24 Fair 2.92
Aug 30, 2025 DET W 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.28 Good 4.96
Aug 24, 2025 @DET 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 0 6.17 Excellent 3.07
Aug 20, 2025 TEX 0.1 2 0 0 0 1 0 4.78 Good 3.37
Aug 18, 2025 TEX 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 1 1.15 Suboptimal 3.21
Aug 17, 2025 CWS W 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1.18 Suboptimal 4.52
Aug 15, 2025 CWS 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5.24 Good 3.93
Aug 12, 2025 WSH SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.89 Good 4.66
Aug 10, 2025 @MIN 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3.21 Fair 2.92
Aug 9, 2025 @MIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.92 Fair 4.37
Aug 6, 2025 @BOS 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2.10 Fair 2.92
Aug 3, 2025 @TOR 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 2.06 Fair 3.93
Jul 30, 2025 ATL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3.95 Good 3.93
Jul 29, 2025 ATL 1.0 3 1 1 0 0 1 4.29 Good 3.07
Jul 27, 2025 CLE 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.36 Good 4.22
Jul 26, 2025 CLE 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.09 Good 4.44
Jul 23, 2025 @CHC 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.92 Fair 4.08
Jul 19, 2025 @MIA L 1.0 2 2 2 0 3 1 3.26 Fair 1.53
Jul 18, 2025 @MIA 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 2 3.63 Fair 4.22
Jul 13, 2025 NYM 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4.26 Good 4.08
Jul 12, 2025 NYM 1.1 2 1 1 0 0 2 4.16 Good 3.56
Jul 9, 2025 PIT W 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.97 Good 4.96
Jul 8, 2025 PIT 1.0 1 1 1 0 2 0 3.93 Good 2.50
Jul 6, 2025 @AZ 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3.67 Fair 4.52
Jul 3, 2025 @SEA 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.44 Fair 4.30
Jul 1, 2025 @SEA W 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.82 Suboptimal 4.66
Jun 30, 2025 @SEA 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1.89 Suboptimal 4.22
Jun 27, 2025 LAD 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3.76 Good 4.08
Jun 22, 2025 @SD 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 2 4.56 Good 4.29
Jun 20, 2025 @SD W 1.0 3 2 2 0 1 0 2.73 Fair 2.22
Jun 18, 2025 @TEX 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 1 5.60 Excellent 4.08
Jun 15, 2025 ATH 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.32 Fair 4.00
Jun 12, 2025 NYY L 1.0 2 1 0 0 1 1 5.27 Good 3.79
May 24, 2025 @MIN 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.66 Good 4.22
May 23, 2025 @MIN L 0.1 2 2 2 1 0 1 4.67 Good 2.24
May 21, 2025 @SF 1.0 2 2 2 1 1 1 4.24 Good 2.08
May 18, 2025 STL W 1.2 1 0 0 0 1 1 2.50 Fair 4.64
May 13, 2025 @HOU 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.38 Fair 4.50
May 12, 2025 @HOU 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.17 Fair 4.01
May 9, 2025 BOS 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 5.02 Good 4.00
May 7, 2025 CWS 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4.89 Good 4.96
May 4, 2025 @BAL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.28 Fair 4.08
May 3, 2025 @BAL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2.88 Fair 4.52
Apr 30, 2025 @TB 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3.35 Fair 3.93
Apr 29, 2025 @TB 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3.83 Good 4.08
Apr 25, 2025 HOU SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.26 Good 4.96
Apr 24, 2025 COL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.89 Good 4.37
Apr 22, 2025 COL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.07 Fair 4.08
Apr 18, 2025 @DET 0.2 1 1 1 0 0 0 3.04 Fair 3.00
Apr 13, 2025 @CLE 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.22 Fair 4.24
Apr 10, 2025 MIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.81 Suboptimal 4.08
Apr 7, 2025 MIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4.01 Good 4.08
Apr 6, 2025 BAL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4.94 Good 4.66
Apr 4, 2025 BAL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1.38 Suboptimal 3.93
Apr 2, 2025 @MIL 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1.34 Suboptimal 4.30
Mar 29, 2025 CLE 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.95 Fair 3.93
Mar 27, 2025 CLE 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.86 Suboptimal 4.01
Sep 26, 2024 @WSH SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5.51 Good 4.96
Sep 25, 2024 @WSH SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5.62 Excellent 4.96
Sep 24, 2024 @WSH SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7.48 Excellent 5.26
Sep 17, 2024 DET L 1.2 3 2 1 0 1 2 1.17 Suboptimal 3.19
Sep 14, 2024 @PIT 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 4.06 Good 4.52
Sep 11, 2024 @NYY 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2.65 Fair 4.71
Sep 8, 2024 MIN SV 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.63 Fair 4.81
Sep 7, 2024 MIN SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.76 Fair 4.96
Sep 4, 2024 CLE SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.28 Fair 4.96
Sep 3, 2024 CLE 0.2 2 3 3 0 0 2 3.48 Fair 1.74
Aug 29, 2024 @HOU L 0.1 2 3 3 0 1 0 3.14 Fair 0.87
Aug 28, 2024 @CLE L 1.0 3 1 1 0 0 1 2.60 Fair 3.07
Aug 26, 2024 @CLE SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6.69 Excellent 4.37
Aug 23, 2024 PHI SV 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1.98 Fair 4.81
Aug 21, 2024 LAA SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4.04 Good 5.26
Aug 18, 2024 @CIN 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 4 1.58 Suboptimal 5.24
Aug 14, 2024 @MIN SV 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.83 Good 4.73
Aug 10, 2024 STL SV 1.1 2 0 0 0 0 2 6.31 Excellent 5.03
Aug 9, 2024 STL 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 6.33 Excellent 4.22
Aug 7, 2024 BOS 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.25 Fair 4.79
Aug 3, 2024 @DET 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.40 Fair 4.37
Aug 2, 2024 @DET 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.26 Fair 3.95
Jul 31, 2024 @CWS 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.88 Fair 4.66
Jul 26, 2024 @LAA SV 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 3.86 Good 4.81
Jul 25, 2024 @LAA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.06 Good 4.37
Jul 22, 2024 HOU 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.78 Good 4.37
Jul 21, 2024 LAA L 0.0 2 4 4 0 1 0 3.54 Fair 0.00
Jul 12, 2024 @PHI 0.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.58 Good 3.80
Jul 10, 2024 @BOS 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 1 3.42 Fair 4.00
Jul 7, 2024 BAL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1.82 Suboptimal 4.37
Jul 4, 2024 LAA 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.43 Fair 4.22
Jul 2, 2024 LAA 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 3.39 Fair 4.22
Jun 28, 2024 @AZ 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.15 Good 3.86
Jun 26, 2024 @LAA 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.15 Good 4.22
Jun 23, 2024 MIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3.83 Good 4.66
Jun 21, 2024 MIN 1.1 3 0 0 0 0 1 3.12 Fair 4.00
Jun 18, 2024 KC 0.2 2 2 2 0 1 0 1.98 Fair 1.74
Jun 16, 2024 @MIN 1.1 2 0 0 0 0 2 2.22 Fair 4.44
Jun 14, 2024 @MIN 0.1 0 1 0 0 1 0 3.59 Fair 3.66
Jun 12, 2024 @SD 0.2 1 2 2 1 1 1 5.21 Good 2.15
May 25, 2024 HOU 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.63 Good 4.22
May 22, 2024 COL 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.43 Fair 4.42
May 21, 2024 COL W 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.01 Fair 4.66
May 18, 2024 @KC 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 1 2.41 Fair 3.35
May 14, 2024 @HOU 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3.87 Good 4.66
May 11, 2024 @SEA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.29 Good 4.08
May 6, 2024 TEX L 1.0 2 3 3 1 2 2 3.99 Good 1.25
May 3, 2024 MIA SV 1.1 2 1 1 0 0 3 2.85 Fair 4.44
Apr 30, 2024 PIT 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2.65 Fair 4.96
Apr 28, 2024 @BAL SV 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3.50 Fair 5.26
Apr 25, 2024 @NYY 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4.72 Good 4.37
Apr 22, 2024 @NYY W 2.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4.14 Good 4.86
Apr 17, 2024 STL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7.52 Excellent 4.66
Apr 14, 2024 WSH 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2.44 Fair 3.79
Apr 12, 2024 WSH 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3.08 Fair 4.66
Apr 11, 2024 @TEX 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.29 Fair 4.37
Apr 7, 2024 @DET 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.10 Good 3.86
Apr 5, 2024 @DET L 1.0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4.92 Good 3.21
Apr 2, 2024 BOS 0.1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1.06 Suboptimal 3.37
Mar 31, 2024 CLE 0.2 2 2 1 0 0 1 4.74 Good 3.14
Mar 30, 2024 CLE 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3.95 Good 4.08
Sep 28, 2023 @MIN W 1.0 0 0 0 0 3 1 2.78 Fair 4.08
Sep 27, 2023 @MIN 1.1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2.64 Fair 3.85
Sep 23, 2023 DET 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 3 4.15 Good 4.66
Sep 22, 2023 DET 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.90 Good 4.22
Sep 19, 2023 SEA 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 3 1.28 Suboptimal 4.88
Sep 16, 2023 SD 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4.07 Good 4.44
Sep 12, 2023 @HOU 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 5.48 Good 4.52
Sep 9, 2023 @TEX L 0.2 0 1 1 0 3 0 2.96 Fair 2.29
Sep 8, 2023 @TEX 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3.87 Good 4.66
Sep 4, 2023 TOR 2.0 1 0 0 0 1 2 4.49 Good 4.42
Sep 1, 2023 LAA 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.35 Fair 3.93
Aug 30, 2023 @SEA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6.23 Excellent 4.37
Aug 29, 2023 @SEA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6.06 Excellent 4.08
Aug 26, 2023 @CWS 2.0 0 0 0 0 2 3 2.65 Fair 4.57
Aug 24, 2023 @CWS W 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4.00 Good 4.22
Aug 21, 2023 KC 0.2 2 2 2 0 1 0 0.99 Suboptimal 1.74
Aug 19, 2023 BAL 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 2 1.13 Suboptimal 4.29
Aug 14, 2023 @STL 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3.52 Fair 3.79
Aug 12, 2023 @WSH L 0.0 1 1 1 1 0 0 2.04 Fair 2.88
Aug 11, 2023 @WSH 0.2 1 2 2 0 0 0 6.82 Excellent 2.15
Aug 7, 2023 TEX 0.1 0 1 0 0 2 0 2.72 Fair 3.37
Aug 6, 2023 SF 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3.37 Fair 4.08
Aug 3, 2023 @LAD 1.0 6 4 4 0 0 1 4.07 Good 0.18
Aug 2, 2023 @LAD 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3.77 Good 2.92
Jul 28, 2023 @COL 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.04 Fair 4.01
Jul 25, 2023 @SF L 0.2 1 1 1 0 1 1 3.90 Good 3.00
Jul 22, 2023 HOU 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5.22 Good 5.31
Jul 19, 2023 BOS 1.0 1 1 0 0 0 1 4.62 Good 4.22
Jul 16, 2023 MIN L 0.0 2 2 2 0 2 0 3.86 Good 1.35
Jul 14, 2023 MIN 1.2 0 0 0 0 1 4 3.76 Good 5.09
Jul 8, 2023 @BOS 2.0 5 3 3 0 0 4 7.56 Excellent 2.13
Jul 4, 2023 @DET 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2.42 Fair 4.15
Jul 1, 2023 CWS 1.2 3 3 3 0 1 3 4.72 Good 1.78
Jun 29, 2023 NYY 0.0 3 5 4 0 1 0 5.31 Good -0.13
Jun 27, 2023 NYY 1.2 1 0 0 0 0 3 4.62 Good 4.94
Jun 23, 2023 @TOR W 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2.05 Fair 5.56
Jun 21, 2023 @CLE 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.12 Fair 4.66
Jun 18, 2023 PHI 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.74 Fair 4.01
Jun 17, 2023 PHI 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.21 Good 4.22
Jun 14, 2023 TB 1.1 2 1 0 0 2 1 4.67 Good 3.56
Jun 11, 2023 @MIL 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 1 4.08 Good 4.14
Jun 9, 2023 @MIL 2.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3.49 Fair 4.27
Jun 7, 2023 @PIT 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.78 Fair 4.15
Jun 5, 2023 @PIT 0.1 1 1 1 0 1 1 2.21 Fair 2.94
Jun 3, 2023 @MIA 2.0 3 3 3 0 2 1 2.30 Fair 1.03
May 29, 2023 ATL W 3.0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5.11 Good 6.27
May 26, 2023 HOU 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4.48 Good 4.22
May 24, 2023 @SEA 1.1 0 0 0 0 2 2 2.61 Fair 4.14
May 21, 2023 @HOU 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 2 5.37 Good 4.15
May 19, 2023 @HOU 1.0 2 1 1 0 1 1 7.33 Excellent 2.92