In this Fair window, Kelly is performing above his usual readings. His Aligned profile means his outcomes should closely reflect that upswing. That level of consistency is valuable.
Merrill Kelly is operating with improved measures in a Fair window. His Aligned profile suggests his end results will align with that upswing rather closely. There’s a dependable feel to this setup.
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 41.2 | 34 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 11.0 | 3.46 | 0.98 | 0.214 | +23.41% |
| Good | 52 | 21 | 12 | 0 | 301.2 | 265 | 143 | 137 | 44 | 97 | 257 | 7.7 | 4.09 | 1.20 | 0.234 | -8.90% |
| Fair | 72 | 27 | 21 | 0 | 426.0 | 372 | 166 | 159 | 46 | 132 | 381 | 8.0 | 3.36 | 1.18 | 0.235 | +8.41% |
| Suboptimal | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 77.2 | 82 | 46 | 41 | 11 | 24 | 68 | 7.9 | 4.75 | 1.36 | 0.270 | -23.57% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 53.1 | 56 | 30 | 30 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 5.6 | 5.06 | 1.46 | 0.269 | 2.04 |
| 2025 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 184.0 | 157 | 79 | 72 | 23 | 48 | 167 | 8.2 | 3.52 | 1.11 | 0.226 | 3.69 |
| 2024 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 73.2 | 67 | 35 | 33 | 11 | 19 | 63 | 7.7 | 4.03 | 1.17 | 0.242 | 3.29 |
| 2023 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 177.2 | 143 | 71 | 65 | 20 | 69 | 187 | 9.5 | 3.29 | 1.19 | 0.222 | 3.90 |
| 2022 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 200.1 | 167 | 77 | 75 | 21 | 61 | 177 | 8.0 | 3.37 | 1.14 | 0.226 | 3.67 |
| 2021 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 158.0 | 163 | 82 | 78 | 21 | 41 | 130 | 7.4 | 4.44 | 1.29 | 0.266 | 2.79 |
| Date | Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | TriSync Rating | TriSync Level | Game Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | @SEA | 5.1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Fair | 2.05 | ||
| May 25, 2026 | @SF | W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Suboptimal | 4.08 | |
| May 20, 2026 | SF | W | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Fair | 3.02 | |
| May 15, 2026 | @COL | W | 9.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Good | 5.66 | |
| May 9, 2026 | NYM | W | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Fair | 5.41 | |
| May 3, 2026 | @CHC | L | 4.1 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | Good | -0.81 | |
| Apr 28, 2026 | @MIL | L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | Fair | -1.21 | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | CWS | L | 4.1 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | Suboptimal | -2.56 | |
| Apr 14, 2026 | @BAL | W | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | Fair | 2.75 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | MIA | L | 4.1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Fair | 2.29 | |
| Sep 16, 2025 | @HOU | L | 3.0 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Good | -1.67 | |
| Sep 10, 2025 | MIL | W | 5.2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 3.24 | |
| Sep 5, 2025 | HOU | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Suboptimal | 5.41 | ||
| Aug 30, 2025 | @ATH | W | 6.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Good | 2.80 | |
| Aug 24, 2025 | CLE | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | Fair | 7.09 | |
| Aug 19, 2025 | @KC | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Good | 3.88 | ||
| Aug 13, 2025 | AZ | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 3.45 | ||
| Aug 8, 2025 | PHI | L | 4.1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | Good | 0.37 | |
| Aug 2, 2025 | @SEA | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Good | 4.40 | ||
| Jul 26, 2025 | @PIT | L | 6.2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 4.01 | |
| Jul 20, 2025 | STL | W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | Fair | 3.74 | |
| Jul 13, 2025 | @LAA | W | 5.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | Good | 5.01 | |
| Jul 8, 2025 | @SD | L | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Good | 4.96 | |
| Jul 2, 2025 | SF | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | Fair | 1.76 | ||
| Jun 27, 2025 | MIA | L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Excellent | 3.11 | |
| Jun 21, 2025 | @COL | W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | Suboptimal | 4.17 | |
| Jun 15, 2025 | SD | L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Excellent | 2.13 | |
| Jun 9, 2025 | SEA | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 5.96 | ||
| Jun 4, 2025 | @ATL | W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | Fair | 7.87 | |
| May 30, 2025 | WSH | 5.0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | Good | 1.71 | ||
| May 24, 2025 | @STL | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Good | 2.17 | ||
| May 18, 2025 | COL | W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | Fair | 8.19 | |
| May 12, 2025 | @SF | W | 7.0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Good | 6.17 | |
| May 7, 2025 | NYM | L | 6.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 3.37 | |
| May 2, 2025 | @PHI | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 3.98 | ||
| Apr 26, 2025 | ATL | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Good | 3.59 | ||
| Apr 20, 2025 | @CHC | 5.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Excellent | 4.99 | ||
| Apr 15, 2025 | @MIA | W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | Fair | 6.73 | |
| Apr 8, 2025 | BAL | W | 6.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 4.03 | |
| Apr 3, 2025 | @NYY | L | 3.2 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Good | -3.99 | |
| Mar 28, 2025 | CHC | W | 5.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | Fair | 3.32 | |
| Sep 27, 2024 | SD | L | 5.2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | Suboptimal | 1.56 | |
| Sep 21, 2024 | @MIL | W | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Good | 6.99 | |
| Sep 16, 2024 | @COL | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 4.76 | ||
| Sep 11, 2024 | TEX | 4.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Fair | 1.80 | ||
| Sep 5, 2024 | @SF | 7.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Suboptimal | 4.96 | ||
| Aug 31, 2024 | LAD | 5.1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Good | 0.15 | ||
| Aug 25, 2024 | @BOS | W | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | Fair | 1.76 | |
| Aug 18, 2024 | @TB | 5.0 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Good | -0.69 | ||
| Aug 11, 2024 | PHI | W | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Fair | 3.26 | |
| Apr 15, 2024 | CHC | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 4.42 | ||
| Apr 9, 2024 | @COL | W | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | Fair | 3.30 | |
| Apr 3, 2024 | NYY | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Good | 3.64 | ||
| Mar 29, 2024 | COL | W | 6.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | Fair | 6.86 | |
| Sep 30, 2023 | HOU | L | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 4.52 | |
| Sep 25, 2023 | @NYY | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 3.40 | ||
| Sep 20, 2023 | SF | W | 6.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | Good | 5.04 | |
| Sep 14, 2023 | @NYM | L | 5.0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | Fair | -0.95 | |
| Sep 9, 2023 | @CHC | 5.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | Suboptimal | 3.81 | ||
| Sep 4, 2023 | COL | W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | Good | 7.72 | |
| Aug 29, 2023 | @LAD | L | 5.0 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | Fair | -2.94 | |
| Aug 24, 2023 | CIN | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | Fair | 8.83 | ||
| Aug 19, 2023 | @SD | W | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | Good | 1.91 | |
| Aug 14, 2023 | @COL | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | Fair | 5.51 | ||
| Aug 9, 2023 | LAD | 6.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Good | 4.17 | ||
| Aug 4, 2023 | @MIN | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | Good | 4.76 | ||
| Jul 30, 2023 | SEA | L | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 2.41 | |
| Jul 25, 2023 | STL | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 4.47 | ||
| Jun 24, 2023 | @SF | L | 5.0 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Suboptimal | -0.69 | |
| Jun 19, 2023 | @MIL | W | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Good | 6.32 | |
| Jun 14, 2023 | PHI | 6.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | Good | 2.88 | ||
| Jun 9, 2023 | @DET | W | 6.1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 2.94 | |
| Jun 2, 2023 | ATL | W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | Good | 4.81 | |
| May 28, 2023 | BOS | W | 6.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | Good | 6.65 | |
| May 21, 2023 | @PIT | W | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 3.83 | |
| May 15, 2023 | @OAK | W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Excellent | 6.78 | |
| May 10, 2023 | MIA | 6.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 2.45 | ||
| May 5, 2023 | WSH | W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | Fair | 7.09 | |
| Apr 28, 2023 | @COL | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Good | 5.06 | |
| Apr 22, 2023 | SD | L | 5.0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | Good | 1.57 | |
| Apr 17, 2023 | @STL | W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Fair | 4.91 | |
| Apr 11, 2023 | MIL | L | 6.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | Good | 3.16 | |
| Apr 6, 2023 | LAD | L | 5.2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Fair | 2.39 | |
| Mar 31, 2023 | @LAD | 3.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Good | 4.15 | ||
| Oct 5, 2022 | @MIL | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 5.06 | ||
| Sep 30, 2022 | @SF | L | 4.2 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Fair | -2.88 | |
| Sep 24, 2022 | SF | W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Good | 4.96 | |
| Sep 19, 2022 | @LAD | L | 6.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 1.07 | |
| Sep 13, 2022 | LAD | L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | Good | 2.41 | |
| Sep 6, 2022 | @SD | 7.0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | Suboptimal | 2.50 | ||
| Sep 1, 2022 | MIL | W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Suboptimal | 7.40 | |
| Aug 27, 2022 | @CWS | W | 7.1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Good | 3.42 | |
| Aug 21, 2022 | STL | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | Fair | 2.31 | ||
| Aug 16, 2022 | @SF | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 6.17 | ||
| Aug 11, 2022 | PIT | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Excellent | 2.55 | ||
| Aug 6, 2022 | COL | 7.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Good | 3.64 | ||
| Jul 31, 2022 | @ATL | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | Fair | 6.63 | ||
| Jul 25, 2022 | SF | W | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Fair | 7.77 | |
| Jul 17, 2022 | @SD | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Fair | 5.36 | |
| Jul 11, 2022 | @SF | W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 3.93 | |
| Jul 6, 2022 | SF | 6.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Good | 3.95 | ||
| Jul 1, 2022 | @COL | W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Good | 4.81 | |
| Jun 24, 2022 | DET | L | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 1.76 | |
| Jun 19, 2022 | MIN | W | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Excellent | 5.71 | |
| Jun 13, 2022 | CIN | L | 6.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 1.07 | |
| Jun 8, 2022 | @CIN | W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | Fair | 6.12 | |
| Jun 3, 2022 | @PIT | W | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | Suboptimal | 2.41 | |
| May 28, 2022 | LAD | L | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 2.13 | |
| May 22, 2022 | @CHC | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | Fair | 1.30 | ||
| May 17, 2022 | @LAD | L | 2.0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | Good | -3.30 | |
| May 11, 2022 | MIA | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 1.85 | ||
| May 6, 2022 | COL | W | 8.2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | Fair | 6.04 | |
| Apr 30, 2022 | @STL | W | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Good | 6.78 | |
| Apr 25, 2022 | LAD | L | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 2.03 | |
| Apr 20, 2022 | @WSH | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Good | 5.06 | |
| Apr 13, 2022 | HOU | 5.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 5.68 | ||
| Apr 8, 2022 | SD | 4.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 5.56 | ||
| Sep 29, 2021 | @SF | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Good | 4.42 | ||
| Sep 22, 2021 | ATL | L | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 0.40 | |
| Sep 15, 2021 | @LAD | L | 4.2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Good | -0.23 | |
| Aug 11, 2021 | @SF | L | 5.0 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | Suboptimal | -0.30 | |
| Aug 5, 2021 | SF | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 5.61 | ||
| Jul 31, 2021 | LAD | L | 6.1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 2.52 | |
| Jul 24, 2021 | @CHC | W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 4.61 | |
| Jul 18, 2021 | CHC | W | 8.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Good | 3.40 | |
| Jul 11, 2021 | @LAD | 5.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 4.05 | ||
| Jul 6, 2021 | COL | 5.1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Good | 2.33 | ||
| Jul 1, 2021 | SF | W | 7.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | Fair | 4.22 | |
| Jun 26, 2021 | @SD | W | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Fair | 6.42 | |
| Jun 21, 2021 | MIL | W | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Good | 5.41 | |
| Jun 16, 2021 | @SF | L | 3.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | Good | 0.80 | |
| Jun 11, 2021 | LAA | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Fair | 2.83 | ||
| Jun 5, 2021 | @MIL | 6.0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Suboptimal | 1.62 | ||
| May 31, 2021 | NYM | L | 6.2 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Good | 0.78 | |
| May 26, 2021 | SF | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 4.32 | ||
| May 20, 2021 | @LAD | L | 7.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | Excellent | 5.26 | |
| May 13, 2021 | MIA | L | 6.1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 2.10 | |
| May 8, 2021 | @NYM | L | 5.2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | Fair | 3.10 | |
| May 2, 2021 | COL | 5.2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Good | 3.38 | ||
| Apr 27, 2021 | SD | W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 5.06 | |
| Apr 21, 2021 | @CIN | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Good | 2.13 | ||
| Apr 15, 2021 | @WSH | W | 6.0 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | Good | 0.40 | |
| Apr 8, 2021 | @COL | L | 6.0 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Fair | -0.91 | |
| Apr 2, 2021 | @SD | L | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | Fair | 1.67 |
Kelly is showing elevated markers within this Fair window. Thanks to his Aligned profile, his metrics are likely to stay in sync with that gain. That adds confidence to the projection.