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Is Mitch Keller projected to do well today?

Mitch Keller
#23 Mitch Keller
Team: Pittsburgh Pirates
Position: P
Profile: Variable
Output Level: Loading...
TriSync Projection: Loading...

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

Donโ€™t let the Fair label fool you with Mitch Keller. In his case, it often points to a below-par outcome. The Variable profile may create some swings, which may not land in your favor here. Even with all of that, his Overall Rating and the matchup dictate his use in ROTO and DFS.

Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 2.44 vs AZ

ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster
DFS LO
Fade
Low Output
DFS HI
Fade
Low Output

Keller entering a Fair window is usually not a great sign. His past track record in this range points to dull production. With a Variable profile, the uncertainty surrounding his numbers only increases the downside. Safer to scratch him here.

Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.27 vs AZ

ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster

Mitch lands in a Suboptimal window with a Variable profile, so this isnโ€™t an automatic play. The cycle alone wonโ€™t give you a clear move for this pitcher. Let other factors guide whether to scratch him or play him.

Opposing Pitcher TriSync Projection: 3.08 vs AZ

ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster

Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/-
Excellent 13 2 5 0 72.1 79 40 38 8 19 68 8.5 4.73 1.35 0.270 -13.77%
Good 66 21 22 0 371.2 345 171 160 39 114 340 8.2 3.87 1.23 0.245 +6.80%
Fair 74 20 30 0 390.2 424 224 207 46 137 351 8.1 4.77 1.44 0.274 -12.09%
Suboptimal 17 3 9 0 87.1 96 55 51 13 33 84 8.7 5.26 1.48 0.281 -19.03%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 21 6 7 0 113.2 111 66 61 13 38 87 6.9 4.83 1.31 0.253 2.57
2025 32 6 15 0 176.1 171 91 82 21 51 150 7.7 4.19 1.26 0.249 3.01
2024 31 11 12 0 178.0 182 90 84 23 50 166 8.4 4.25 1.30 0.261 3.17
2023 32 13 9 0 194.1 187 97 91 25 55 210 9.7 4.21 1.25 0.249 3.49
2022 31 5 12 0 159.0 162 77 69 14 60 138 7.8 3.91 1.40 0.266 3.05
2021 23 5 11 0 100.2 131 69 69 10 49 92 8.2 6.17 1.79 0.322 2.10

Individual Game Stats

Click column titles for more information & detailed explanations
Date
Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K
Composite Score
Output Level
Game Rating
Jul 27, 2026 AZ 5.1 6 2 2 0 1 4 3.00 Fair 3.18
Jul 22, 2026 @NYY 5.0 3 0 0 0 2 6 3.81 Good 5.61
Jul 9, 2026 ATL L 3.0 4 3 3 1 2 3 2.04 Fair 1.62
Jul 3, 2026 @WSH L 6.0 8 5 5 3 0 1 4.75 Good 0.00
Jun 28, 2026 CIN W 6.0 5 4 3 0 1 4 3.35 Fair 3.16
Jun 23, 2026 SEA L 6.0 7 3 3 2 1 4 3.34 Fair 2.31
Jun 16, 2026 @ATH 5.1 4 5 1 1 4 7 4.58 Good 4.34
Jun 11, 2026 LAD L 4.0 7 5 5 1 4 3 4.17 Good -0.74
Jun 5, 2026 @ATL L 4.2 7 6 6 1 3 4 1.96 Fair -0.88
May 30, 2026 MIN 4.0 10 7 7 0 1 5 6.11 Excellent -1.38
May 24, 2026 @TOR W 6.0 4 1 1 0 3 5 1.96 Fair 4.76
May 19, 2026 @STL 5.2 4 4 4 1 1 3 3.47 Fair 1.56
May 13, 2026 COL L 5.2 7 6 6 1 1 3 6.11 Excellent -0.45
May 7, 2026 @AZ W 6.0 4 2 2 1 2 4 1.94 Suboptimal 3.88
May 1, 2026 CIN W 7.0 3 1 1 0 1 6 4.38 Good 6.01
Apr 25, 2026 @MIL 5.0 5 3 3 0 2 6 4.68 Good 2.69
Apr 19, 2026 TB W 7.0 5 2 2 0 0 5 1.66 Suboptimal 4.81
Apr 14, 2026 WSH L 4.0 6 5 5 1 4 3 5.17 Good -0.61
Apr 8, 2026 SD 6.0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3.36 Fair 5.51
Apr 3, 2026 BAL W 6.0 6 2 2 0 4 4 4.15 Good 3.02
Mar 28, 2026 @NYM 6.0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3.53 Fair 5.51
Sep 26, 2025 @ATL 3.2 3 1 1 1 5 6 5.44 Good 3.57
Sep 19, 2025 ATH L 5.0 4 4 4 2 1 4 4.33 Good 1.71
Sep 12, 2025 @WSH 5.1 4 2 2 1 1 4 2.38 Fair 3.47
Sep 6, 2025 MIL L 6.1 5 2 2 1 0 4 5.08 Good 3.80
Aug 31, 2025 @BOS L 5.0 4 4 0 1 1 7 1.29 Suboptimal 6.06
Aug 26, 2025 @STL W 6.0 3 3 3 1 1 9 5.20 Good 4.91
Aug 19, 2025 TOR L 3.1 7 5 5 1 3 4 4.45 Good -0.33
Aug 13, 2025 @MIL L 4.0 8 6 6 0 2 5 2.74 Fair -0.61
Aug 8, 2025 CIN 5.2 6 2 2 0 3 3 3.55 Fair 2.39
Aug 3, 2025 @COL W 5.0 7 5 5 3 1 4 3.22 Fair 1.03
Jul 28, 2025 @SF 2.0 5 3 3 0 3 3 2.11 Fair 1.03
Jul 22, 2025 DET W 6.0 6 3 3 1 3 5 3.93 Good 2.74
Jul 13, 2025 @MIN 6.0 4 1 1 0 0 3 1.90 Suboptimal 4.47
Jul 8, 2025 @KC 6.2 4 3 2 2 1 5 3.47 Fair 4.01
Jul 2, 2025 STL W 7.0 5 0 0 0 1 7 3.29 Fair 6.94
Jun 27, 2025 NYM W 5.1 5 1 1 1 1 4 4.36 Good 4.78
Jun 21, 2025 TEX L 5.2 3 3 2 0 2 5 4.28 Good 3.67
Jun 15, 2025 @CHC 6.0 3 2 2 0 2 3 4.47 Good 3.16
Jun 10, 2025 MIA L 6.0 8 3 3 1 0 4 1.93 Suboptimal 2.45
Jun 5, 2025 HOU L 6.1 8 6 6 1 1 5 4.06 Good 0.06
May 30, 2025 @SD L 6.0 3 3 3 0 2 1 4.51 Good 1.76
May 24, 2025 MIL 6.0 7 1 1 0 0 7 2.37 Fair 5.21
May 19, 2025 CIN L 6.0 6 2 1 0 1 5 3.66 Fair 4.47
May 13, 2025 @NYM L 7.0 5 2 2 1 1 8 6.60 Excellent 4.81
May 7, 2025 @STL L 6.0 7 3 3 0 3 6 1.18 Suboptimal 2.31
May 2, 2025 SD L 5.0 8 5 4 1 1 3 6.72 Excellent 0.89
Apr 26, 2025 @LAD 6.0 5 3 2 0 1 6 2.54 Fair 4.03
Apr 20, 2025 CLE 5.0 5 2 2 1 2 3 3.34 Fair 2.69
Apr 15, 2025 WSH L 6.0 6 3 3 1 2 3 4.75 Good 1.90
Apr 9, 2025 STL 7.1 4 0 0 0 1 6 3.71 Fair 6.24
Apr 4, 2025 NYY L 3.2 8 7 7 0 4 4 2.75 Fair -2.19
Mar 28, 2025 @MIA W 6.0 5 1 1 0 1 4 5.10 Good 4.91
Sep 26, 2024 MIL L 5.0 6 3 3 0 2 6 3.75 Good 2.55
Sep 20, 2024 @CIN L 3.1 7 8 8 2 5 1 2.94 Fair -3.80
Sep 14, 2024 KC L 6.0 4 4 3 1 1 6 3.67 Fair 3.30
Sep 7, 2024 WSH 6.0 7 2 2 0 0 8 2.97 Fair 4.61
Sep 1, 2024 @CLE L 5.1 11 4 3 3 0 7 2.88 Fair 2.75
Aug 26, 2024 CHC L 4.0 7 3 3 0 2 4 5.55 Excellent 1.67
Aug 20, 2024 @TEX W 7.0 3 0 0 0 0 9 4.46 Good 8.19
Aug 14, 2024 @SD L 5.0 8 8 8 2 2 2 2.17 Fair -2.70
Aug 9, 2024 @LAD L 4.0 7 7 7 2 2 5 5.48 Good -1.25
Aug 3, 2024 AZ 4.0 1 0 0 0 2 4 1.57 Suboptimal 5.11
Jul 28, 2024 @AZ 7.0 2 2 2 0 2 6 4.37 Good 4.37
Jul 22, 2024 STL 7.0 6 1 1 1 2 3 3.78 Good 3.79
Jul 14, 2024 @CWS 3.0 4 2 2 1 3 3 1.60 Suboptimal 2.17
Jul 8, 2024 NYM W 8.0 7 2 2 1 0 6 4.51 Good 5.01
Jul 2, 2024 STL L 5.0 9 6 5 2 0 5 2.07 Fair 0.76
Jun 25, 2024 @CIN W 5.2 6 4 3 0 3 6 6.93 Excellent 2.95
Jun 19, 2024 CIN 7.0 2 0 0 0 2 7 4.19 Good 6.47
Jun 13, 2024 @STL L 6.0 8 4 4 2 0 4 2.82 Fair 1.62
Jun 7, 2024 MIN W 6.0 7 0 0 0 2 8 2.54 Fair 6.42
Jun 1, 2024 @TOR W 6.0 5 1 1 0 1 8 6.45 Excellent 6.12
May 25, 2024 ATL W 6.2 6 1 1 0 0 4 2.24 Fair 5.19
May 19, 2024 @CHC W 6.0 2 2 2 0 3 3 5.25 Good 3.59
May 13, 2024 @MIL W 6.0 8 0 0 0 0 7 3.56 Fair 6.57
May 6, 2024 LAA W 9.0 5 1 1 1 1 5 2.82 Fair 5.81
Apr 30, 2024 @OAK L 5.0 5 3 3 1 2 7 6.14 Excellent 2.97
Apr 25, 2024 MIL 5.0 6 4 4 1 2 7 1.16 Suboptimal 1.99
Apr 20, 2024 BOS L 6.0 5 4 4 1 4 4 4.29 Good 0.94
Apr 14, 2024 @PHI W 7.0 8 2 2 1 0 4 5.10 Good 4.08
Apr 8, 2024 DET W 6.0 5 2 2 0 3 9 2.73 Fair 4.91
Apr 3, 2024 @WSH L 5.1 8 5 4 1 2 5 4.21 Good 1.23
Mar 28, 2024 @MIA 5.2 7 5 4 0 2 3 4.10 Good 0.87
Sep 26, 2023 @PHI 6.0 3 2 2 1 2 6 4.43 Good 4.03
Sep 20, 2023 @CHC W 5.2 9 7 7 2 1 6 3.45 Fair -0.19
Sep 14, 2023 WSH W 8.0 2 0 0 0 1 7 3.70 Fair 7.61
Sep 8, 2023 @ATL L 5.0 12 8 8 2 0 4 2.13 Fair -2.21
Sep 1, 2023 @STL 6.0 5 1 1 1 3 8 4.83 Good 4.91
Aug 25, 2023 CHC W 8.0 4 0 0 0 1 6 5.36 Good 6.99
Aug 19, 2023 @MIN W 6.0 7 2 2 0 1 12 2.31 Fair 6.12
Aug 13, 2023 CIN 6.0 5 2 1 0 3 7 3.57 Fair 4.61
Aug 8, 2023 ATL 5.0 9 3 3 1 0 4 4.56 Good 2.13
Aug 3, 2023 @MIL L 5.0 9 8 8 1 3 5 1.06 Suboptimal -2.33
Jul 28, 2023 PHI L 5.2 6 2 2 1 3 8 3.86 Good 3.81
Jul 23, 2023 @LAA L 5.0 9 6 6 3 1 7 4.14 Good 0.22
Jul 18, 2023 CLE L 6.0 10 8 8 2 2 1 2.54 Fair -3.02
Jul 8, 2023 @AZ 7.0 1 0 0 0 5 4 3.26 Fair 4.81
Jul 3, 2023 @LAD L 5.0 8 5 4 1 1 7 2.49 Fair 1.99
Jun 28, 2023 SD W 6.0 4 1 1 0 2 5 4.71 Good 5.06
Jun 22, 2023 @MIA 7.0 5 1 1 0 0 5 6.47 Excellent 5.11
Jun 17, 2023 @MIL L 5.0 5 4 4 1 3 7 2.14 Fair 1.85
Jun 11, 2023 NYM W 7.0 2 1 1 1 2 7 2.95 Fair 6.17
Jun 6, 2023 OAK L 5.1 8 5 5 1 4 1 3.39 Fair -1.15
May 31, 2023 @SF W 6.0 10 4 4 0 1 8 4.79 Good 2.74
May 26, 2023 @SEA W 6.0 7 6 6 2 2 8 2.43 Fair 1.21
May 20, 2023 AZ 6.0 3 2 2 1 0 8 7.57 Excellent 5.21
May 14, 2023 @BAL W 7.0 4 0 0 0 0 13 1.46 Suboptimal 9.31
May 8, 2023 COL W 9.0 4 0 0 0 1 8 5.03 Good 7.82
May 3, 2023 @TB L 5.0 5 5 1 0 1 8 4.85 Good 5.31
Apr 27, 2023 LAD W 6.0 5 2 2 0 1 10 1.97 Fair 5.81
Apr 21, 2023 CIN W 6.0 4 2 2 0 1 5 4.47 Good 4.47
Apr 16, 2023 @STL 6.0 7 3 3 1 2 3 7.26 Excellent 1.76
Apr 11, 2023 HOU 6.0 6 2 2 2 2 7 1.78 Suboptimal 3.88
Apr 5, 2023 @BOS W 7.0 4 1 1 0 2 7 5.43 Good 5.86
Mar 30, 2023 @CIN 4.2 5 4 4 1 4 8 2.40 Fair 1.78
Oct 3, 2022 STL 5.0 6 2 2 1 2 5 7.08 Excellent 3.11
Sep 27, 2022 CIN 5.0 5 1 1 0 3 5 2.42 Fair 3.83
Sep 22, 2022 CHC L 6.0 4 2 2 0 2 7 4.89 Good 4.17
Sep 16, 2022 @NYM L 6.0 5 3 3 1 2 6 3.27 Fair 2.88
Sep 11, 2022 STL 7.0 2 0 0 0 3 6 2.84 Fair 5.86
Sep 6, 2022 NYM W 6.0 5 0 0 0 2 2 2.27 Fair 4.91
Aug 30, 2022 @MIL 6.0 4 2 2 1 2 10 3.80 Good 5.06
Aug 24, 2022 ATL L 3.2 7 7 2 1 2 5 3.46 Fair 2.72
Aug 16, 2022 BOS L 2.0 5 5 4 0 3 1 3.51 Fair -0.30
Aug 10, 2022 @AZ W 5.1 5 3 3 0 1 3 3.10 Fair 2.75
Aug 5, 2022 @BAL L 6.0 8 1 1 0 1 1 2.63 Fair 3.02
Jul 30, 2022 PHI 6.0 5 1 1 1 3 3 6.72 Excellent 3.45
Jul 24, 2022 MIA 6.0 5 3 3 1 0 7 4.55 Good 3.74
Jul 16, 2022 @COL L 6.0 5 1 0 0 2 6 3.59 Fair 5.51
Jul 11, 2022 @MIA W 7.0 5 1 1 0 0 5 4.58 Good 5.71
Jul 6, 2022 NYY L 6.0 10 4 4 2 1 7 1.67 Suboptimal 1.90
Jun 29, 2022 @WSH 4.0 9 5 5 0 4 4 5.41 Good -0.74
Jun 24, 2022 @TB 5.0 5 3 3 0 1 5 5.27 Good 2.69
Jun 19, 2022 SF 6.0 3 2 1 0 3 4 3.27 Fair 4.03
Jun 13, 2022 @STL 5.1 7 2 2 0 1 2 2.47 Fair 2.47
Jun 8, 2022 DET 6.0 4 1 1 0 2 7 4.18 Good 5.06
May 31, 2022 @LAD W 5.0 2 2 2 1 5 5 3.73 Fair 3.40
May 25, 2022 COL 3.1 5 1 1 0 1 2 4.61 Good 3.23
May 18, 2022 @CHC W 2.2 3 1 1 0 2 4 3.68 Fair 4.25
May 13, 2022 CIN L 4.2 5 5 5 1 2 2 1.24 Suboptimal -0.10
May 7, 2022 @CIN 4.1 6 5 5 1 3 3 3.79 Good -0.29
May 1, 2022 SD L 6.0 5 1 1 0 0 5 2.28 Fair 4.91
Apr 26, 2022 MIL 4.2 5 4 4 1 2 1 2.57 Fair 0.43
Apr 20, 2022 @MIL L 5.1 4 1 1 1 0 7 5.40 Good 5.53
Apr 15, 2022 WSH L 3.2 7 4 4 0 3 4 3.11 Fair 0.52
Apr 9, 2022 @STL L 4.0 6 4 4 1 2 4 3.51 Fair 0.98
Oct 3, 2021 CIN 3.0 3 1 1 0 1 3 4.72 Good 3.74
Sep 28, 2021 CHC 4.0 9 6 6 0 3 2 2.83 Fair -1.75
Sep 21, 2021 @CIN W 5.2 7 2 2 0 4 2 4.86 Good 2.25
Sep 15, 2021 CIN 5.0 4 2 2 0 2 3 3.32 Fair 2.83
Sep 8, 2021 DET L 5.0 10 4 4 0 1 6 2.82 Fair 1.44
Sep 2, 2021 @CHC 6.0 6 0 0 0 0 8 4.44 Good 6.57
Aug 26, 2021 STL 5.1 6 7 7 2 3 2 5.51 Good -1.90
Aug 20, 2021 @STL W 5.0 6 0 0 0 1 6 2.00 Fair 6.06
Aug 14, 2021 MIL L 4.1 9 2 2 0 1 3 4.65 Good 2.29
Aug 7, 2021 @CIN L 5.0 7 4 4 1 4 4 1.45 Suboptimal 0.49
Aug 1, 2021 PHI L 5.0 8 4 4 0 0 2 3.83 Good 0.89
Jun 10, 2021 LAD L 2.2 5 4 4 1 3 3 3.10 Fair 0.34
Jun 4, 2021 MIA 2.0 2 2 2 0 3 2 3.46 Fair 1.99
May 29, 2021 COL W 5.0 2 0 0 0 2 6 4.26 Good 6.37
May 22, 2021 @ATL L 5.0 8 5 5 2 1 6 4.55 Good 0.89
May 16, 2021 SF L 5.0 6 2 2 0 3 8 1.99 Fair 3.69
May 10, 2021 CIN L 3.1 7 7 7 1 2 2 3.71 Fair -2.11
May 4, 2021 @SD W 5.2 2 0 0 0 2 5 5.08 Good 6.20
Apr 28, 2021 KC L 2.1 3 4 4 0 5 2 1.89 Suboptimal -0.24
Apr 22, 2021 @DET 5.0 5 2 2 1 0 5 3.78 Good 3.83
Apr 15, 2021 SD L 3.1 9 7 7 1 3 1 1.24 Suboptimal -2.85
Apr 10, 2021 CHC W 5.0 5 1 1 0 1 7 5.52 Good 5.61
Apr 4, 2021 @CHC L 3.0 2 3 3 1 4 4 3.51 Fair 1.62